Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 73.553640 82.750120 92.139989 102.412523 113.303495 124.476939 136.777615
2025-10-05 62.133068 75.704423 90.145952 106.528175 124.473981 143.423987 164.838860
2025-10-12 54.587299 70.657255 88.286264 108.798154 131.765036 156.471552 184.849803
2025-10-19 47.116383 64.704004 84.566756 108.220842 135.223854 164.739368 199.107041
2025-10-26 41.060657 59.697885 81.329742 107.638489 138.187182 172.037629 211.906473
2025-11-02 36.633836 56.180273 79.442024 108.263550 142.222505 180.286409 225.543495
2025-11-09 32.111348 52.122783 76.566196 107.423502 144.306161 186.106533 236.253086
2025-11-16 28.649924 49.103575 74.703689 107.573424 147.362902 192.892536 247.933229
2025-11-23 25.083343 45.632372 72.032523 106.530498 148.831369 197.699858 257.223947
2025-11-30 22.943537 43.911087 71.440620 107.928261 153.125729 205.730648 270.178570
2025-12-07 21.135815 42.496984 71.130343 109.584043 157.660300 213.992069 283.363717
2025-12-14 18.528620 39.700640 68.830987 108.587918 158.849870 218.212309 291.761227
2025-12-21 15.693201 36.327004 65.606159 106.308317 158.408673 220.482077 297.898971
2025-12-28 15.148819 36.464458 67.175629 110.247704 165.706171 232.050331 315.046656
2026-01-04 14.166441 35.806731 67.574733 112.605752 170.992459 241.176062 329.290273
2026-01-11 12.408129 33.700843 65.810966 112.009910 172.489219 245.665717 337.983077
2026-01-18 10.826200 31.722671 64.116218 111.417268 173.921926 250.027209 346.484014
2026-01-25 9.709159 30.446406 63.372452 112.054443 176.885394 256.232370 357.176657
2026-02-01 8.345421 28.548261 61.595719 111.197880 177.865438 259.956782 364.850876
2026-02-08 7.339207 27.209280 60.590292 111.350754 180.112625 265.216925 374.360204
2026-02-15 6.189019 25.409585 58.769521 110.287220 180.715079 268.396053 381.315933
2026-02-22 5.617582 24.762288 58.727839 111.712584 184.572812 275.623080 393.193684
2026-03-01 5.139042 24.258593 58.884513 113.400861 188.767131 283.267457 405.583206